Have we ever seen an offseason with this much movement? It’s been exciting; with big names being traded and some interesting free agent signings, yes I am looking at you Christian Kirk. It’s been interesting to see the impact of all the movements on the fantasy football dynasty scene. Many players are on the move for the first time, while others have packed their bags multiple times.
I figured it would be fun to take a look at the fantasy football dynasty value of the players on the move for the first time. Last week I looked at the quarterbacks and running backs. This week we will take a look at the wide receivers and tight ends. What kind of situation are these guys walking into? Should we be buying, selling or holding these guys as they adjust to a new team?
Davante Adams – Oakland Raiders – Sell
Currently WR11 on KTC, valued between an early and mid 2023 1st.
Adams will be turning 30 before the calendar turns to 2023. Even if he repeats as a top five WR this year his value will dip because of his age.
He signed a nice five year contract, but he now has to compete with Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow for targets. The last few years with the Packers didn’t bring much competition and he had an MVP QB throwing him the ball.
Even if you are competing you can look to pivot to a younger option, plus something else.
Tyreek Hill – Miami Dolphins – Sell
Currently WR14 on KTC, valued at a mid 2023 1st.
Sadly, Hill’s fantasy football stock dipped as soon as he was traded. Even with a strong 2022 season, the best he will do is hold his value. He is younger than Adams, but will be 29 before the 2023 season begins.
The Dolphins paid him well on a three contract and I expect him to be heavily targeted. However, it is no longer Patrick Mahomes throwing him the football.
You could hold and sell midseason if he starts strong, but you also risk him disappointing and losing even more value. It’s a tough call. Just like Adams, maybe look to pivot to a younger option – plus a little something on the side as a contender.
A.J. Brown – Philadelphia Eagles – Sell
Currently WR9 on KTC, valued around an early 2023 1st.
This is a great trade for the Eagles, but I don’t love it for Brown’s fantasy football value. Prior to the trade, Brown was viewed as a top four dynasty WR. However, the general public has soured on him. I would argue he is a top four talent at the position, but I think he takes another dip after this year. I called the D.K. Metcalf dip last offseason, I am doing the same with Brown this year.
Why, do you ask? I question whether Hurts can support a stud WR. DeVonta Smith only finished the year as the WR29, averaging 9.0 points per game. Yes he was a rookie, but he was drafted to be the guy. Even if Brown is heavily targeted, what does that look like with Hurts throwing the ball? How much is this team going to rely on the running game? I just don’t see a top end WR coming out of this offense.
There is also the fact that Brown has a lot more competition this year than he has ever had. Brown maybe got paid to be the number one, but Smith can’t be ignored and Dallas Goedert is one of the best TEs in the league.
If I can pivot from Brown and gain something back I’d do it all day.
JuJu Smith-Schuster – Kansas City Chiefs – Buy
Currently WR43 on KTC, valued at an early 2023 2nd.
When you have a chance to buy a consistent WR2 – when healthy – at WR4 prices you do it!
JuJu is only 25 years old but has played five seasons already. His three healthy seasons were as a top 24 WR, with 2018 being his peak at the WR8. Oh, and he just happens to now be playing with arguably the best QB in the league. Enough said. Go and buy!
Christian Kirk – Jacksonville Jaguars – Buy
Currently WR48 on KTC, valued at a mid 2023 2nd.
The man who broke the WR market wide open is a great buy right now. Argue all you want about whether he is worth the money or not, the fact is, he was paid to be the #1 target on his team.
It is not very often you get to buy a team’s number one target for just a second round pick. He is a great WR3 option right now, with WR2 upside if Lawerence can take a step forward in year two.
At his price he is worth the risk. The chance of your second round pick ever getting the same opportunity as Kirk is very slim.
Russell Gage – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Sell
Currently WR51 on KTC, valued at a mid 2023 2nd.
Gage signed a three year contract with the Buccaneers. I do think he will have a good 2022 season. He will do well while Godwin recovers from his injury. Then he will still have productive games as the third option in a Brady lead offence once Godwin returns.
However, what happens to this offense once Tom Brady retires? With Godwin and Evans signed long term I don’t see someone else coming in and supporting three options. Even with a hot start, everyone knows Godwin is coming back eventually. How much will Gage’s fantasy football value rise in that time? I’d say sell now while there is some hype.
D.J. Chark – Detroit Lions – Hold
Currently WR66 on KTC, valued around an early 2023 3rd.
Chark signed a one year contract with the Lions. His 2021 season was wiped out by a fractured ankle.
At his age and talent level I’d be tempted to buy, but I don’t trust the Lions offense to raise his stock. They traded up to draft Jameson Williams in the first round of the NFL draft. T.J. Hockenson is back healthy, and sophomore Amon-Ra St. Brown looked good to finish off the year. The WR core for the Lions isn’t great but it has depth! Add in D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams catching passes out of the backfield and I just don’t see Chark raising his fantasy football stock.
If you have deep benches he is worth holding to see what happens next offseason. Just don’t expect consistent numbers this year; especially because Chark thrives with the deep ball and Goff likes the safe option better.
Marquise (Hollywood) Brown – Arizona Cardinals – Hold
Currently WR25 on KTC, valued around a late 2023 1st.
There is some hype around Hollywood reuniting with his college QB. The two are close friends and now they get a chance to show what they can do at the NFL level.
Hollywood is going to be the number one target for the first six weeks as DeAndre Hopkins serves his suspension. I expect that he can repeat numbers similar to last year when he was the WR5 through the first nine weeks. During that span he averaged 16 points per game.
I expect Hollywood can continue to dominate even after Hopkins comes back. He is an explosive WR who doesn’t necessarily need quantity of targets, but quality. It might benefit him to have another WR to take the pressure off.
The Cardinals picked up his fifth year option, which means he is tied to his good buddy for the next couple years. If you can get a 2023 first for him now it would be tempting, but I think he could up his fantasy football value early in the season.
Bryan Edwards – Atlanta Falcons – Buy
Currently WR87 on KTC, valued around a late 2023 3rd.
I think a change of scenery is just what Edwards needed. He lands in a spot that has a lot of question marks going into the season. Drake London and Kyle Pitts are presumably the top two targets, after that it’s anyone’s game.
Edwards has the profile to be the main guy in an offense. He was a potential first round WR before a broken foot prior to the combine pushed him down draft boards.
It’s also intriguing that Marcus Mariota and Edwards were both on the Raiders together, practicing together, building chemistry potentially… alright I might be just making stuff up, but it might not hurt.
This is a team that could be playing from behind a lot. There are worse guys to have stashed on the end of your bench. He’s worth a late flier to see if he can turn things around on a new team.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (M.V.S.) – Kansas City Chiefs – Sell
Currently WR65 on KTC, valued around a late 2023 2nd.
MVS was given a three year, 30 million dollar contract from the Chiefs. I want MVS on all my fantasy football best ball teams, but I am selling everywhere else. I don’t want the headache of guessing when he will go off.
He is the perfect piece to add as the second player in two for one trades. He has just enough appeal to him to excite another manager. I just don’t see consistency with him. I expect a similar role to what he played with the Packers, where he peaked at WR52 in 2020.
Bryon Pringle – Chicago Bears – Hold
Currently WR121 on KTC, valued at a mid 2023 4th.
I am not excited about Pringle at all, but besides Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet, who is going to catch passes for the Bears?
I am not pursuing a trade for him, but if he is sitting on my waiver wire I might add him to see what happens. There is some sleeper appeal, but don’t hold your breathe.
James Washington – Dallas Cowboys – Buy
Currently WR98 on KTC, valued around an early 2023 4th.
If I can stash Washington on my fantasy football roster I’d do it. The Steelers have done a good job of drafting WR talent. However, Washington just always seemed to be the odd man out. He is a former second round pick, but has played behind Antonio Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chase Claypool and Diontae Johson over the last four years.
I don’t expect him to beat out Michael Gallup or Jalen Tolbert. However, Gallup could miss the start of the 2022 season and Tolbert is just a rookie. There is a chance Washington could be useful to start the year and beyond if any other injuries arise.
He is currently dealing with a bit of an injury himself, but it sounds like he should be ready to go for training camp. This will give him a chance to work with the first team offence while Gallup is out.
Devante Parker – New England Patriots – Sell
Currently WR90, valued at a late 2023 3rd.
I don’t see his fantasy football value increasing too much. Even if he becomes a useful part of the Patriots offense, he is 29 years old and only has one magical season as a top 36 WR.
If someone is willing to give me a third for him, I’d take it. I don’t see it happening right now, but find the Patriots fan in your league and use him as a throw in.
Evan Engram – Jacksonville Jaguars – Buy
Currently TE21 on KTC, valued at a mid 2023 3rd.
Why not? At this price what do you have to lose? First off, Doug Pederson’s offense has always featured a TE. Also, the Jaguars paid him 10 millions dollars to come and play. Not to mention, Trevor Lawerence targeted whatever TE was on the field last year; and stone hands or not, Engram is more talented than any of them.
The best part is, there is no true number one WR on this team. Yes, Christian Kirk was paid like one, but he hasn’t shown he has that ability. There is an outside chance Engram leads this team in targets next year. You can’t say that about many TEs that are being ranked ahead of him.
Noah Fant – Seattle Seahawks – Hold
Currently TE13 on KTC, valued around a late 2023 2nd.
I believe Fant is one of the most talented receiving TEs in the game. The only thing is, he can’t catch a break with QBs. It looks like he will be either playing the year with Drew Lock again or Geno Smith. Neither of them is helping raise his fantasy football stock.
The Seahawks picked up his fifth year option. Which means he is potentially hitting free agency at the age of 26. He is still so young! Depending on where he ends up or what the Seahawks do at QB next offseason his stock will likely rise.
C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Conklin – N.Y. Jets – Waiver Wire
Uzomah is currently TE40 on KTC, valued at an early 2023 4th.
Conklin is currently TE39 on KTC, valued at an early 2023 4th.
I’d rather take a dart throw with my fourth rounder than trade for one of these guys.
Although both got paid well on three year contracts, the Jets TEs last year only combined for 46 receptions, 469 yards, and 3 TDs.
With the Jets WR group, plus Hall and Carter, I just don’t see either of the TEs being consistent enough to warrant a roster spot. It’s okay to let these guys go from your fantasy football dynasty rosters.
O.J. Howard – Buffalo Bills – Waiver Wire
Currently TE44 on KTC, valued at a mid 2023 4th.
If only he had landed in one of the TE needy spots, but sadly he didn’t. Instead injuries have sucked the life out of Howard’s career and he finds himself as a backup TE.
In an offense like the Bills, there is chance to score TDs but there will be no consistency to depend on. Look to add him if Knox were to go down, otherwise leave him on the wire.
Sheldon Hand
Sheldon Hand is an elementary school teacher. He started writing in 2019, and started working with The League Winners in 2021. He has been playing fantasy football for fifteen years, got into dynasty seven years ago and have become a bit obsessed.