Football is quickly approaching, and many people are starting their fantasy football drafts. No matter the platform, the fantasy football strategy is generally the same. And the middle is a strong spot with the current draft boards heading into the season. Even though you struck out on a top pick, you will still have an elite option at running back or wide receiver. Let’s dive into the approach you can take in our mid-pick draft strategy.
Fantasy Football Strategy
For this exercise, we will use FantasyPros 1 QB PPR ADP and give you an idea of who will be available in each round. Brandon did a great job breaking it down in his article for the later picks in the draft. I will limit the overlay, but there will likely be some.
Round 1
Candidates: Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Bijan Robinson
In fantasy football, I love to play edges, and there’s no player who accomplishes that more than Kelce. Do not get me wrong; this scenario has no bad pick. However, I have Saquon a tier below these other players.
Kelce will likely finish as the TE1 again this year. It is commonly said you can’t win your league in round 1, but you can lose it. Kelce is one of the safest picks with upside no other player possesses at the position. If I had to rank them:
- Travis Kelce
- Bijan Robinson
- Tyreek Hill
- Saquon Barkley
Travis Kelce by Year
2016: TE1
2017: TE1
2018: TE1
2019: TE1
2020: TE1
2021: TE2
2022: TE1The Safest Player in all of Fantasy Football
— Alex Caruso (@AlexCaruso) August 18, 2023
Round 2
Candidates: Patrick Mahomes, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jonathan Taylor, Garrett Wilson,
If you go Kelce in the first round, I would not fault you for trying to stack him with Mahomes in the second. If that is not an option, you should attack one of the positions you missed in round 1. However, the receiver position is easier to address in the second round if Tony Pollard is off the board.
Right now, Jonathan Taylor would be there, according to ADP. He would have been my pick, but it’s reported that he will now miss the first four games of the season; which leaves Garrett Wilson as my top option for Round 2 with Aaron Rodgers under center for the Jets.
Round 3
Candidates: Devonta Smith, Tee Higgins, Jahmyr Gibbs, Calvin Ridley
Higgins or Smith will provide substantial value as your WR1 if faithful to the ADP. Do not worry that they are not the first receiver on the depth chart. They will still get the required volume to succeed in their high-powered offenses. I will take Smith over Higgins by the slightest margins. If you went receiver in round 2, I would rank Gibbs as my first choice.
- Devonta Smith
- Tee Higgins
- Jahmyr Gibbs
- Calvin Ridley
Devonta Smith target rate:
Weeks 1-9: 21.2%
Weeks 10-18: 27.8% (highest on the team)
Per @FantasyPtsData pic.twitter.com/p6E7BUyniO
— Fantasy Points (@FantasyPts) August 24, 2023
Round 4
Candidates: Dameon Pierce, Keenan Allen, Breece Hall, Amari Cooper
It is easy to determine what position to take here; receivers have more quality options later later in the draft. So the real question is, do you trust Pierce in the Texans offense or Hall’s repaired knee?
Even in round four, every running back from here on out will have questions. I will buy into the hype with the camp videos and hope Hall can recapture the magic he had last season with the Jets. Both receivers have major upside in PPR and can provide stability at the position.
- Breece Hall
- Amari Cooper
- Keenan Allen
- Dameon Pierce
BREECE HALL COMEBACK SZN 🔥 pic.twitter.com/1hZSohFGHH
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) August 24, 2023
Round 5
Candidates: DJ Moore, Darren Waller, DeAndre Hopkins, Cam Akers
In this group, Moore feels like he stands out above the rest, especially in a Kelce build. It is obvious that Fields and Moore are developing chemistry. We have also seen what a star receiver can do for a young quarterback. Lean into that trend here and take the high-upside receiver.
- DJ Moore
- Darren Waller (without Kelce)
- Deandre Hopkins
- Cam Akers
Round 6
Candidates: Drake London, Brandon Aiyuk, D’Andre Swift, James Cook
I love this range, and it is because of what is available at the receiver position. We can see breakouts for both Aiyuk and London this season. They do have problems holding each of them back, however.
For London, it’s the quarterback. For Aiyuk, it’s volume and his superstar teammates. I still love both options in round 6 with their ceilings this season. If I had to make a choice between the two running backs, I would pick Swift over Cook, but it would be close.
- Drake London
- Brandon Aiyuk
- D’Andre Swift
- James Cook
Drake London finished 7th among WR’s in target share as a rookie (29.0%).
He had the same target-share as Ja’Marr Chase (29.0%).
& a higher target-share than AJB (28.5%), ARSB (27.7%), & Stefon Diggs (27.6%).
— David J. Gautieri (@GuruFantasyWrld) January 9, 2023
Round 7
Candidates: Diontae Johnson, David Montgomery, George Pickens, Marquise Brown
Diontae is a step above the rest in my eyes when it comes to this range. He will draw another elite target share this year, as will Brown. However, the regression will hit, and Diontae will find the endzone at least once this season. As a flex, Diontae would provide excellent value for any fantasy football team.
- Diontae Johnson
- Marquise Brown
- David Montgomery
- George Pickens
Last three years in terms of targets, Diontae Johnson has been:
WR6
WR2
WR6He goes off the board in drafts at WR31 pic.twitter.com/ucXrdiitqS
— Andrew Cooper (@CoopAFiasco) August 27, 2023
Round 8
Candidates: Jahan Dotson, Jordan Addison, Zach Charbonnet
Brandon already wrote about Dotson, who would be my first choice. I also think Dotson is poised for a breakout. However, Zach Charbonnet can be a great value in fantasy football drafts. You spend a second-round pick on a running back to put him on the field. I like Charbonnest as a depth option for the position this year.
- Jahan Dotson
- Zach Charbonnet
- Jordan Addison
Rest of Draft – Sleepers
Tank Bigsby: I believe Bigsby will carve out a nice role this season for the Jaguars. He will have some standalone value, and if Travis Etienne ever has to miss time, he will be a lineup lock.
Roschon Johnson: Similar to Bigsby, but Johnson has a higher upside. I can see Johnson winning the Bears’ job, whereas Bigsby can not. Johnson is a talented back who got stuck behind Bijan in college.
Jakobi Meyers: I think Meyers has the chance to be a solid flex play with Jimmy Garoppolo starting in Las Vegas. The defenses will be keying in on Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs, so Meyers should have plenty of opportunity. He is a talented player and well worth the late-round flier.
If you would like to see our full list of rankings, head over to www.theleaguewinners.com to see rankings from our entire staff.