NFL Betting: More or Less – Week 4 Thursday Night Football

Every Sunday, Monday, and Thursday for the rest of the NFL season, The League Winners will be providing a ‘More or Less’ NFL betting segment. Each prop used in this article is set by our partner, Monkey Knife Fight. If you click here and use the promo code ‘WINNERS’ upon signup, MKF will match up to $100 dollars on your deposit for first time users.

I will be following up on the success or failure each week. With that said, let’s get started.

NFL Betting: More or Less

Joe Burrow: 259.5 Passing Yards – Less

Joe Burrow hasn’t had more than 210 yards since Week 1. Facing the 0-3 Jaguars and without Tee Higgins, the Bengals may rely on Joe Mixon and the run game. I expect this to be a one-sided affair for the Bengals.

Trevor Lawrence: 250.5 Passing Yards – More

While Trevor Lawrence hasn’t surpassed more than 210 yards since Week 1 as well, I think the Jaguars will be playing catch up early in this game. This will force a game script and I believe Lawrence can hit 250 yards in what could be mostly be garbage time.

Tyler Boyd: 5.5 Receptions – More

With Tee Higgins out, Tyler Boyd becomes the most consistent pass-catcher on the Bengals. Ja’Marr Chase is the deep threat, but it will be Boyd who sees the most intermediate action. 6-8 receptions seems likely for Boyd today.

Joe Mixon: 90.5 Rushing Yards – More

Joe Mixon rarely leaves the field, and has received at least 18 carries in every game this season. I believe he will be relied upon early and often, and being leaned on to run the clock down later in the game. Seeing 100 yards and a touchdown shouldn’t be unlikely.

Ja’Marr Chase: 72.5 Receiving Yards – Less

I pick less here, but I think it’s close. Chase could easily reach this number on one play, or he could be an afterthought in a game where he isn’t needed as often like in previous matchups. I lean towards the latter for now, but wouldn’t be surprised if I got this one wrong.

Marvin Jones: 68.5 Receiving Yards – More

This is another line I think is very close. The original line was an over/under of five catches, which would have been an easy yes. This one, not so much. While I think it’s very likely Jones gets 70+ yards receiving, that Jaguars offense is just impossible to trust right now. Still, I go with the talent of Jones and his high usage so far and lean more.