Every Thursday for the rest of the NFL season, The League Winners will be providing a ‘More or Less’ NFL betting segment. Each prop used in this article is set by our partner, Monkey Knife Fight. If you click here and use the promo code ‘WINNERS’ upon signup, MKF will match up to $100 dollars on your deposit for first time users.
Last week I once again went 50% on my picks, and am now 7-21. Better, but still not great. At least now we’re trending in the right direction. Let’s take a look at this week’s game against the Jets and Colts.
*Note* NFL betting lines are subject to change after the publication of this piece.
NFL Betting: More or Less
Mike White: 240.5 Passing Yards – More
I like danger. I’m fully entrenched in the Mike White hype, and even if he doesn’t live up to expectations, the Jets should be passing a lot. The Colts defense is a sieve against the pass, and whether or not the Jets are winning, or getting blown out (perhaps more likely), White should be able to hit this mark.
Carson Wentz: 240.5 Passing Yards – Less
The way to beat the Jets is through the ground. While it’s likely that Carson Wentz will dink and dunk his way to this mark, it’s much more likely that Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines see their number called. Wentz has only hit this mark three times, two of them being the first two weeks of the season. He may come close, but I’m leaning with less on this one.
Michael Pittman: 5.5 Receptions – More
I think this will be a very close one, especially considering how good the Jets have been against wide receivers this season. That said, Pittman is easily the WR1 on this team, and Wentz’s favorite target. He’s hit this mark in every game but three this season. Last week he had 15 targets, and while he isn’t likely to repeat that, he should get plenty.
Jonathan Taylor: 85.5 Rushing Yards – Less
Despite the Jets being a sieve with their rushing defense, I don’t think Taylor will hit this mark. With C.J. Mosley healthy, the Jets defense performs much better than when he’s out. Last week Joe Mixon wasn’t able to surpass 50 rushing yards despite having 10+ carries. I think Taylor will have a similar fate today.
Jamison Crowder: 54.5 Receiving Yards – More
Crowder passed this mark last week, and I think it’s likely it happens again. Corey Davis is doubtful for this matchup, and probably missing his second game in a row. Crowder passed this mark when Davis was out last week, and against Indianapolis’ horrid pass defense, I think he can hit it again.
Michael Carter: 4.5 Receptions – More
Mike White likes to funnel targets to his running backs. He’s willing to check it down if the pocket is collapsing, or if his reads aren’t available. Carter has had at least 9 targets in the last two games, and hasn’t caught less than 8 passes. With his usage seeing a major increase, Carter should hit this number with ease tonight.
