The NFL season is finally here! A new season of fantasy brings a new season for you to be able to make money picking players’ projections on Underdog. Use our promo code, FFLW, to get match dollars on your initial deposit. Each Friday I will highlight ten props I recommend for the week’s slate. To begin this year, these are ten Week 1 Underdog prop picks you should be looking to add to your ticket to make some money during the opening week on Underdog.
Week 1 Underdog Prop Picks
Jordan Addison 38.5 Receiving Yards – OVER
The Minnesota Vikings made sure to find their Adam Thielen replacement early in the draft this past April in Jordan Addison. Addison is currently projected to get around 50 yards on Underdog. Addison will also be slotted into the WR2 role on a pass-first offense on the Vikings. With Justin Jefferson garnering more attention, Addison will be able to feast. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers‘ defense will be starting more rookies and undrafted talent than they have ever.
JK Dobbins 57.5 Rushing Yards – OVER
JK Dobbins is currently coming back from an injury-riddled 2022 season. What better way to start the new season than against one of the worst defenses last year according to PFF. The Baltimore Ravens should be able to gain a sizable lead against the Houston Texans. The Ravens will try to run the clock out. Dobbins is also currently projected 70 yards, once again passing this line easily.
Davante Adams Receiving Yards 68.5 – OVER
While a QB change can usually affect the levels of production, the change from Derek Carr to Jimmy Garoppolo should not affect Davante Adams. To be honest, it is not that much of a drop-off. If anything, it could lead to more targets for Adams – as Jimmy G is known for locking onto a receiver. The addition of Jakobi Meyers allows for a distraction in the short game, letting Adams’s ability to be the Las Vegas Raiders‘ deep threat option.
D’Andre Swift 32.5 Rushing Yards – UNDER
My first Under of the season takes us to Philadelphia; with their new addition of D’Andre Swift. Swift goes from the Detroit Lions to the Philadelphia Eagles‘ crowded backfield with Rashaad Penny and Kenneth Gainwell. Over the preseason, Gainwell has had the most first-team reps and the Eagles have slowly been putting Swift into their offense. Swift has also looked a bit underwhelming in practice and could look to produce later rather than immediately.
Christian McCaffrey 0.5 Rushing/Receiving Touchdowns – OVER
The San Francisco 49ers travel to Pittsburgh to start off season and all signs point to George Kittle being unavailable. This allows for more red zone touches to be distributed; and who better to capitalize on this than the 49ers’ best offensive weapon, Christian McCaffrey. CMC was explosive last year after being traded to the Niners, scoring 10 touchdowns in the 11 games that he played for the club. Add in a full offseason with head coach Kyle Shanahan and the possibilities are endless!
🔒 Geno Smith 1.5 Passing Touchdowns – OVER 🔒
Every week this season I will have a ‘Lock of the Week’. For Week 1 we are looking at the reigning comeback player of the year, Geno Smith. Smith will look to continue to not write back against a Los Angeles Rams defense that lost key pieces in Jalen Ramsey and Bobby Wagner.
Meanwhile, the Seattle Seahawks added Zach Charbonnet and Jaxon Smith-Njigba to their offense, giving Geno more options to sling it to. Geno has all the weapons he needs against a much weaker defense in the Rams. Lock it in with this week’s Lock of the Week on Underdog.
Sam Howell 206.5 Passing Yards – OVER
Sam Howell looks to pick up where he left off, with a very impressive preseason. He gets the chance against a bottom-five-ranked Arizona defense. Howell will be coached by former Chiefs OC Eric Bieniemy who will look to show that he wasn’t just Andy Reid’s puppet. Add this to the fact that the Cardinals’ defense is once again one of the worst in the league, and Howell can look to start cooking Week 1!
Calvin Ridley 5.0 Receptions – UNDER
Calvin Ridley returns to the NFL with the Jacksonville Jaguars after not playing in almost two years. I expect there to be a little bit of rust at NFL game speed. For that reason, I don’t see him getting six catches against the Indianapolis Colts. I do think Ridley will end up as the Jags WR1, but it’s going to be a slow start as he gets up to speed. Ridley’s career average is 5.1 catches, so I could see this line pushing with him catching five passes, but I’m more confident that he catches four or five passes instead of six. If you’re not a fan of taking the Under, I would look to take Christian Kirks‘ Over on receptions at 4.5 on Underdog.
Dak Prescott 1.5 Passing Touchdowns – OVER
Dak Prescott has not lost to the New York Giants since his rookie season. I see that trend continuing in Week 1.
The Dallas Cowboys went and traded for Brandin Cooks this season. With the emergence of Tony Pollard last season and now-healthy Michael Gallup, the Cowboys should be efficient once again. All of these weapons should allow Prescott to have a better statistical season this year. Oh, and his career average against the Giants is just under two touchdowns per game. More weapons and something to prove will lead Dak to two passing touchdowns on Sunday Night Football!
Josh Allen 36.5 Rushing Yards – OVER
On Monday night the Buffalo Bills take on the New York Jets. My eyes are on Allen’s performance against a tough Jets defensive squad. Allen currently has a career average of 50 rushing yards against the Jets. I don’t see that number getting any lower. While the Jets’ defense has gotten better in the past few seasons, they’re much better against the pass than they are the run.
The Bills also lost Devin Singletary to the Houston Texans. While James Cook does look like a good piece for their offense, I envision their dual-threat quarterback will continue to impress on the ground.
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Randy Vuxta
Randy Vuxta (@RandallVuxta) is a beat writer covering sports picks and dynasty/redraft content for The League Winners with a little over a decade playing fantasy football. Before joining the staff, he studied Journalism and Sports Business management and created The Randy Report, a YouTube channel dedicated to covering all things sports. When he’s not watching game film or the latest Marvel release, he can be found on Twitch streaming everything from Spider-Man to NBA2K. Randy looks to not only win every league he joins, but help others achieve that goal as well.