See what players are worth taking the over, and under, in these Week 3 Underdog prop picks.
Another week, another set of parlay props. Last week was a bit generous to us compared to the week before. Ee finished 3-5-2. (Chubb got hurt on Monday and so did Miles Sanders for the second half) This week we will be adding some 🌶️ picks, a feature that Underdog has rolled out that gives a bonus to your overall parlay. As always for first-time users, use code “FFLW” to double up your first deposit of up to 100 dollars and play these Week 3 Underdog prop picks.
Last Weeks Record: 3-5-2
Overall Record: 7-10-3
🔒 of the week: 0-2
Week 3 Underdog Prop Picks
Jordan Addison 0.5 Rush + Receiving TDs 🌶️ Over (1.5x Boost)
My very first 🌶️ pick goes out to Jordan Addison against the Chargers. I think Addison continues to score a touchdown this week. Addison has scored in both of his games in his rookie campaign. He is looking to gain more target value. The ability to gain a bonus on top of this is the main appeal, as well as the breakout year Kirk Cousins is having.
Raheem Mostert 2.0 Receptions Under
While Raheem Mostert has been electric for the dolphins so far, his work has come on the ground and not through the air. Mostert has not had more then two targets in a game yet, so it appears McDaniels is not looking to feature him in the passing game. I’m more confident in this line to push for it to go over against the Denver Broncos.
Bijan Robinson Fantasy Score 15.55 Over
It may have taken three weeks, but the fantasy site finally has a fantasy line to bet on. Bijan Robinson has been electric so far this year. I don’t see him slowing down against the Lions. Bijan has passed this line each week so far. I trust him to keep on going even if Arthur Smith doesn’t care about my fantasy team.
Sam Howell Passing Yards Under 218.5
Sam Howell and Eric Bienemy have been a match made in heaven, leading the Commanders to a 2-0 start to the season. The main reason I look to take time under here is the weather of a tropical storm looks to be a major factor in this game. I could see the Commanders leaning on Brian Robinson to carry them through this game.
Lamar Jackson 0.5 Rushing/Receiving TDs 🌶️ Over (1.5x Boost)
For any new signups, there is a special for Lamar Jackson to get 0.5 yards. So definitely include that if you’re new (after putting in code FFLW of course). This is the week Lamar breaks open on the ground and crosses the plane for a touchdown. Lamar has increased his running attempts and yardage over the two weeks and this is when it truly pays off (with a 1.5x boost).
Chris Olave 5.0 Receptions Over 🔒
This prop is confusing to me. Chris Olave has been consistently getting 10+ targets per game. He has passed this line in both of his games played so far. The introduction of Kendre Miller doesn’t scare me off of Olave. The Packers are a good defense with some pretty lockdown corners, But again if Drake London could ball out against them I don’t see Olave having an issue getting at least 5 catches. The only thing that could make you want to fade this is I’m making it my lock of the week, And so far my track record with that is not too impressive (0-2).
Zach Wilson 29.5 Pass Attempts Under
Zach Wilson, I took your under last week and it barely hit. Guess what, we’re doing it again but this time it’s pass attempts. The weather will be a factor in this game. So I believe there will be a bigger role for Breece Hall. Hall was very public about his lack of involvement (🏈🏈🏈🏈). If I were Robert Saleh, I wouldn’t want to be losing games and pissing off my star running back. Wilson has also yet to his 30-pass attempts so Patriots don’t let it be y’all.
Geno Smith 1.5 Passing TDs Over
Geno Smith, my buddy, you’re back again. I made ya my lock week one cause it was the Rams and I didn’t want to write ya off but it seems like you wrote off the second half of that game. Look I’m not mad at ya, but against a Carolina defense that is super young, I expect an easy two touchdown passes. If not, I might need to get the pen and paper and start writing.
Davantae Adams 0.5 Rushing/Receiving Touchdowns Over 🌶️ (1.25x Boost)
Davantae Adams had his first touchdown last week and will look to continue the trend this week on Sunday Night Football against the Steelers. Steelers DBs have been pretty suspect outside of Minkah Fitzpatrick, and I could see Jimmy G locking onto his favorite target once again, especially in the red zone. The 1.25x boost is also a pretty nice add-on to your overall parlay.
Mike Evans 4.0 Receptions Over
Mike Evans looks to have turned the clocks back and re-emerge as a top ten receiver and I look for that to continue as the Buccaneers host the Eagles on Monday night. Evans has had 6 receptions in each game, while also garnering at least ten targets a game. Catching 40% of the targets thrown to him at least seems feasible for Evans, and the Buccaneers will need a big game from him if they have a chance at pulling off the upset against the Eagles.
So a lot more spicy picks this week, but we’re here to help y’all make some money. If you use these picks and they work to get ya some green, feel free to tag me on Twitter @RandallVuxta and as always use code FFLW to get a match bonus up to 100 dollars. As always, let’s go make some money and cash some parlays!
Randy Vuxta
Randy Vuxta (@RandallVuxta) is a beat writer covering sports picks and dynasty/redraft content for The League Winners with a little over a decade playing fantasy football. Before joining the staff, he studied Journalism and Sports Business management and created The Randy Report, a YouTube channel dedicated to covering all things sports. When he’s not watching game film or the latest Marvel release, he can be found on Twitch streaming everything from Spider-Man to NBA2K. Randy looks to not only win every league he joins, but help others achieve that goal as well.