Mikey and Sal are back again for another week of their Over/Under player props from Underdog Fantasy. You can click here and use the promo code ‘FFLW’ and have up to $10 matched if you’re a first time user. *Note* NFL betting lines are subject to change after the publication of this piece.
Every week we will recap with our success and failures for each pick. Let’s see how we did last week, and get into this week’s picks.
NFL Betting: Over/Under – Week 4 Recap
Last week, Mikey finished with a record of 5-3, while Sal ended up with a 3-5 record. Props we both got correct were Kareem Hunt going over 60.5 total yards, and Amari Cooper finishing with over 63.5 receiving yards. Now let’s get into Week 5’s props.
NFL Betting: Over/Under – Week 5 9:30 AM Game (London)
Jets at Falcons
Zach Wilson – 247.5 Pass Yds
Mikey – Over
Zach Wilson proved he can play well against a bad defense with his performance last week against the Titans. I pick him to have another good game against the Falcons, who have one of the worst defenses in the league.
Sal- Over
The Falcons have one of the worst defenses in the league, and the Jets are coming off a win against the Titans. Zach Wilson looked a lot better in Week 4. I expect another step up this week against a struggling Falcons team. This is my lock of the week.
Cordarrelle Patterson – 74.5 Rush + Rec Yds
Mikey – Under
Patterson has been one of the more efficient players in the NFL this season. What causes me to be concerned is he doesn’t play on a majority of the snaps. He may score, but look for his yardage to be lower than expected.
Sal – Over
The Falcons will be without Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage this week. Olamide Zaccheaus will operate as their top wideout against the Jets. The Falcons will have to rely heavily on their backfield, and especially Patterson in the pass game.
NFL Betting: Over/Under – Sunday 1 PM Game
Packers at Bengals
Aaron Jones – 90.5 Rush + Rec Yds
Mikey- Over
Aaron Jones has consistently been one of the best running backs in the league for the last few years. He is also the number two target on the team outside of Davante Adams. I think Jones hits this mark with ease.
Sal – Over
Aaron Jones basically operates as the Packers’ WR2 in their offense. Even though the Bengals have played well against opposing RBs to start the season, I believe this will be dominated by the Packers where Jones is used a ton.
Ja’Marr Chase – 66.5 Rec Yds
Mikey – Over
With Jaire Alexander being placed on IR, the Packers secondary won’t be as stout as they have been. Look for Chase to take advantage down the field.
Sal – Under
The Packers have played great against opposing receivers this season. So far, they’re ranked 4th in the league in receiving yards allowed. I expect this to continue.
NFL Betting: Over/Under – Sunday 4 PM Games
Giants at Cowboys
Ezekiel Elliott – 93.5 Rush + Rec Yds
Mikey – Under
With two sides of the same coin here (I am a Giants fan, Sal a Cowboys fan), Sal and I must disagree. The Giants defensive line should be able to keep Zeke in check and not let him have a breakout game.
Sal – Over
I could just be a biased Cowboys’ fan, but Zeke has balled out recently. Beating this mark the past two weeks, I don’t expect anything different against a Giants team that’s been struggling this year.
Saquon Barkley – 88.5 Rush + Rec Yds
Mikey – Over
Saquon is starting to look like himself again, and healed from the injury that plagued him earlier this year. Breaking away for big plays and making defenses look silly. I expect a performance similar to last week’s game.
Sal – Over
This game will probably come down to the wire. It’s a division game that the Giants desperately need to win. Saquon will be heavily involved, and Dallas’ run defense isn’t great.
Browns at Chargers
Justin Herbert – 292.5 Pass Yds
Mikey – Over
The Browns secondary isn’t up to par with how their front seven performs. I expect Herbet to spread the ball around, find his guys, and take advantage of a secondary that can be exposed.
Sal – Under
The Browns’ defense has been great against quarterbacks this season. This has the looks of a low-scoring game in which Cleveland plans on capitalizing on the Chargers’ poor run defense, and potentially melting precious time away.
Nick Chubb – 85.5 Rush Yds
Mikey – Over
The Chargers are really bad when it comes to run defense. Nick Chubb has every chance to perform in this matchup, and should. I’m taking the over here.
Sal – Over
Chubb is going up against one of the worst run defenses in the league. The Chargers are giving up 5.3 yards per carry this season.Chubb is one of the best rushers in the league. I expect him to have a big game this week.
